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Bastiat's Bastions

What is seen and what is unseen.


Coup

If you haven’t heard, there was a coup in Thailand. Check out the attached picture of the stock market index in Thailand.

I would have expected a negative reaction. Investors are not fond of uncertainty, and political upheval is certainly a major source of uncertainty.

But stock markets are forward looking. News that is expected does not alter markets – this information is already priced into the market. News that is unexpected does move the market.

Did the market expect the coup? Or is that the market likes the coup – thinking that the next political regime will be superior for the business environment?

Stay tuned. The exchange is closed tomorrow, but may open again as soon as Wednesday.

coup1.JPG

–CT

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